Understanding which areas are exposed to changing wildfire conditions will help leaders in government, finance and public health to mitigate catastrophic loss. This report explores Four Twenty Seven’s new methodology for assessing global wildfire potential, identifying regional trends and hot spots. This new analysis leverages a new set of analytics developed by Four Twenty Seven to provide the only known globally comparable dataset on future wildfire potential in a changing climate at a scale of 25 kilometers by 25 kilometers. The analysis is built upon the two key factors of soil moisture deficit and wildfire fuel type and incorporates data from global climate models to provide a view of changing conditions to 2030-2040, capturing both absolute and relative change in frequency and severity.
Assessment Data and Tools